Third Millennium Thinking

Out now: a definitive guide to thinking clearly in a world full of overwhelming information

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In our deluge of information, it's getting harder and harder to distinguish the revelatory from the contradictory. How do we make health decisions in the face of conflicting medical advice? How can we navigate the next uncomfortable discussion with family members, who follow completely different experts on climate?

In Third Millennium Thinking, a physicist, a psychologist, and a philosopher introduce readers to the tools and frameworks that scientists use to keep from fooling themselves, to understand the world, and to make decisions. We can all borrow from these trust-building techniques that scientists have tested and developed for more than two millennia to tackle problems both big and small.

Readers will learn:

- How to gain a solid understanding of the facts that shape our modern world

- How to navigate through a multitude of possibilities and make informed choices

- How to collaborate effectively in tackling the challenges we encounter today

- And much more

Through engaging thought exercises, clear language free from technical jargon, and compelling illustrations drawn from history, everyday life, and insider stories of scientists, Third Millennium Thinking presents a fresh approach for readers to untangle the confusing and make sense of it all.

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'A model of clear thinking, and a terrific discussion of how to use logic and evidence to solve the hardest problems. This might just be the cure for what ails us.' Cass R. Sunstein, Robert Walmsley University Professor, Harvard University, and author of Decisions About Decisions

'A model of clear thinking, and a terrific discussion of how to use logic and evidence to solve the hardest problems. This might just be the cure for what ails us.' Cass R. Sunstein, Robert Walmsley University Professor, Harvard University, and author of Decisions About Decisions
'If our species is to stagger through another millennium, we need to get better at thinking about how we think-and conducting high-stakes debates more intelligently. This book lays out, with superb clarity, the path forward.' Philip E. Tetlock, author of Superforecasting
'A physicist, a philosopher, and a psychologist walk into a book, and mix an inviting cocktail about how to think through big problems and make effective decisions in a Third Millennium age of overwhelming, complex, and contradictory information. A must read for anyone who needs to make expert judgments without being experts themselves.' David Dunning, Professor of Psychology at the University of Michigan and discoverer of the Dunning-Kruger Effect

Saul Perlmutter (Author)

Saul Perlmutter is a 2011 Nobel Laureate, sharing the prize in Physics for the discovery of the accelerating expansion of the universe. He is professor of physics at the University of

California, Berkeley, and a senior scientist at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. He is also the leader of the International Supernova Cosmology Project, director of the Berkeley Institute for Data Science, and executive director of the Berkeley Center for Cosmological Physics.

Robert MacCoun (Author)

Robert MacCoun is a social psychologist and public policy analyst who is currently James and Patricia Kowal Professor of Law at Stanford University and a Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies. His previous book with Peter Reuter, Drug War Heresies: Learning from Other Vices, Times, and Places is considered a landmark scholarly analysis of the drug legalization debate. His publications and expert testimony on military unit cohesion were influential in the 1993 and 2010 policy debates about allowing gay and lesbian people to serve openly in the US military.

John Campbell (Author)

John Campbell is Willis S. and Marion Slusser Professor of Philosophy at the University of California, Berkeley. He has held Guggenheim and NEH Fellowships and served as President of the European Society for Philosophy and Psychology. Campbell is the author of Past, Space and Self (1994), Reference and Consciousness (2002), Berkeley's Puzzle, co-authored with Quassim Cassam (2012) and Causation in Psychology (2020).

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